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Непостоянство Южного колебания Эль-Ниньо и тропики восточной части Тихого океана: обзор

Лучше задайте этот вопрос в разделе естественные науки. Обращаясь к океанологам. Поскольку ENSO это устойчивая аббревиатура от El Nino southern oscillation. У него должен быть русский аналог.
Ибо иногда употребляют отдельно "El Nino and Southern oscillation"

We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it combines two key mechanisms that participate in ENSO dynamics: delayed negative feedback and seasonal forcing. We perform a theoretical and numerical study of the model in the three-dimensional space of its physically relevant parameters: propagation period of oceanic waves across the Tropical Pacific, atmosphere-ocean coupling, and strength of seasonal forcing. Phase locking of model solutions to the periodic forcing is prevalent: the local maxima and minima of the solutions tend to occur at the same position within the seasonal cycle. Such phase locking is a key feature of the observed El Nino (warm) and La Nina (cold) events. The phasing of the extrema within the seasonal cycle depends sensitively on model parameters when forcing is weak. We also study co-existence of multiple solutions for fixed model parameters and describe the basins of attraction of the stable solutions in a one-dimensional space of constant initial model histories.