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Any historical system is believed to have three moments in time: its
genesis (which needs to be explained, but which normally occurs as
the result of the collapse of some other historical system), the rela­
tively long period of what might be called the "quasi-normal" func­
tioning of a historical system (the rules and constraints of which need
to be described and analysed), and the period of terminal crisis (which
needs to be seen as a moment of historic choice whose outcome is al­
ways undetermined).

The theory of history turned out not to survive the test of empirical
experience very well.

As an indication of how far Moscow has travelled away from its past, it
appears to have dropped objections to admitting to NATO the former
Soviet Baltic republics.

World society legitimates different kinds of actors - individuals, states,
interest groups, and international organisations; all of which are known
to come into conflict.

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The alliance of two European democracies is unlikely to be anti-
American.

Russia is sure to deploy much diplomatic pressure that great land pow­
ers have used for millennia to assert control over the declared sphere of

influence.

One of the Russian politicians is supposed to have said once that
"making predictions is very difficult - especially about the future."

Such seemed to have been the goal of the second economic revolution
in Russia that the President heralded in March 7, 1997 address to the
Federal Assembly.

9. The obstacles to the rapid evolution into liberal democracies prove to
be of three basic types: interest groups, collective action problems, and

culture.

10. The twentieth century is said to have developed not in the way it had

been destined for Russia.

11. Some leaders are held to place personal ambition above their pro­
claimed principles.

In those states in which a regime largely respects civil liberties, civil lib­
erties seldom happen to be enough to fulfil the average person's sense
of what should define a democratic society.

The importance of this crisis is likely to have been exaggerated by
both parties involved.

The parties engaged into one of the most corrupt elections ever ap­
peared to be unaware of the real political agenda.

Soon after the failure of the August take-over in 1991 the Soviet Union
was announced to be dissolved.